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星空讲堂:Ecoepidemic Modeling of Alveolar Echinococcosis transmission

日期:2026-06-10 点击数: 作者:张瑞坤 来源:

报告人范猛教授

报告题目Ecoepidemic Modeling of Alveolar Echinococcosis transmission

报告时间2026612日(周13:00-15:00

报告地点D2-220

摘要:An eco-epidemiological lifecycle model incorporating interactions between the two hosts is formulated to explore the transmission mechanism of AE. The basic and demographic reproduction numbers are developed to characterize the transmission dynamics. The study reveals that, under effects of the energy conservation, both population can coexist via a steady state or a cyclic oscillation bifurcated from a Hopf bifurcation, and the disease becomes endemic simultaneously. Furthermore, we study how predation rates of foxes, voles control rates, and different voles control measures work. The findings suggest that improving the control rate of voles will reduce the risk of transmission, while the high predation rate of foxes may also lead to a lower transmission risk, which is different from the predictions of previous studies. The evaluation of the three control measures on voles implies that, when the fox’s predation rate is low (high), the chemical (integrated) control will be more effective.

报告人简介范猛,二级教授、博士生导师。主要从事非线性动力学系统和生物数学研究,出版专著、教材和学习指导书各1部,共同主编论文集和进展特刊7部,发表论文180余篇,主持国家和省部级项目及横向课题20余项,10年入选Elsevier中国高被引学者。获国务院政府特殊津贴、教育部新世纪优秀人才等荣誉;获教育部自然科学奖二等奖、秦元勋数学奖等科技奖励;获宝钢教育奖优秀教师奖、明德教师奖等教学奖励。曾在美国、加拿大、日本等国家的大学进行学术访问。现任5种学术期刊编委、中国数学会生物数学专业委员会副主任、中国工业与应用数学学会数学生命科学专业委员会常务委员等。

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